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On - FC Validation Session 2 - 2026-01-28

Metadata

  • Date: 2026-01-28
  • Company: On
  • Attendees: Emma, Federico Morando, Amanda Mitt, Lucia Galan.caceres, Art Koci, Simon, Jennifer Pearson, Giannis
  • Type: Customer Call
  • Source: Notion Customer Success Meetings

Summary

Current Forecasting System & Roadmap

  • Per-category probability selection with weighted model ensemble (20 models)
  • Weekly regeneration cycle with best probability value per category
  • Upcoming: evaluation metrics, better noisy data handling, exogenous factors modeling, user interaction capabilities

Forecast Accuracy & Categorization Impact

  • Federico's baseline tracking: forecast vs forecast comparison across 13-week horizon; operational cash + investments vs cash position over time
  • Category-level accuracy: track which categories forecast well vs struggle, measure improvement from categorization changes
  • Categorization workflow: daily forecast regeneration incorporates new categories immediately; 2-year historical backfill for major changes
  • Amanda's concern: variance tracking complicated by moving historical numbers
  • Recommendation: faster categorization cadence for cleaner audit trail

Intercompany Handling

  • No IC forecasting creates entity-level balance issues
  • Global level nets to zero, but entity view shows incorrect balances
  • Art/Simon starting project to forecast IC pairs with zero-sum constraint

Palm Chat Demo

  • AI agent system for data analysis queries
  • Reads Palm database, answers forecasting/transaction questions
  • Drag-drop external files (e.g., from SAP) for combined analysis
  • Auto-generates visualizations from natural language prompts
  • Self-corrects when detecting unreasonable data
  • Successfully created operational cash + investments chart with maturity date detection
  • Internal tool currently, working toward client availability

Synced from Notion: https://www.notion.so/2f6c47335ffb818c8d1de772da124073